If $A$ is a $2\times2$ integer matrix with $\det(A)=1$ and $|\text{tr}(A)|>2$, then $A^n\neq I$.

The condition that $\det(A)=1$ is redundant. Let $\lambda_1$ and $\lambda_2$ be the two eigenvalues of $A$ over $\mathbb C$. Since $2<|\operatorname{tr}(A)|=|\lambda_1+\lambda_2|\le|\lambda_1|+|\lambda_2|$, we have $|\lambda_i|>1$ for some $i$. For every $n\in\mathbb N$, as $\lambda_i^n$ is an eigenvalue of $A^n$ and $|\lambda_i^n|=|\lambda_i|^n>1$, $A^n$ cannot possibly be equal to $I$.


Elementary proof without eigenvalues

$$ A^n_{11} + A^n_{22} = A^{n-1}_{11}A_{11} + A^{n-1}_{12}A_{21} + A^{n-1}_{21}A_{12} + A^{n-1}_{22}A_{22}\\ = (A_{11}^{n-1} + A_{22}^{n-1})(A_{11} + A_{22}) - (A_{11}^{n-2} + A_{22}^{n-2}) (A_{11}A_{22} - A_{12}A_{21}) $$

which can be verified easily by expansion. This is basically : $tr(A^n) = tr(A^{n-1})tr(A) - tr(A^{n-2})\det(A)$.

We now argue by induction , that $|tr(A^n)| > |tr(A^{n-1})|$ for all $n > 0$. Clearly, for $n=1$ it is given as $|tr(A)| > |tr(A^0)| = tr(I) = 2$. Now, in general we have $$|tr(A^n)| = |tr(A^{n-1})tr(A) - tr(A^{n-2})| \geq 2|tr(A^{n-1})| - |tr(A^{n-2})| \geq |tr(A^{n-1})|$$

which tells us that $|tr(A^n)| > 2$ for all $n$. There's no way then that $A^n = I$ for any $n$, for $I$ is a matrix with trace exactly $2$.


EDIT : The identity concerning the trace and determinant comes from the well known analogue for the eigenvalues. In particular, with multiplicity if $\alpha,\beta$ are the eigenvalues, then $$ \alpha^n + \beta^n = (\alpha^{n-1} + \beta^{n-1})(\beta + \alpha) - (\alpha^{n-2} + \beta^{n-2})\alpha \beta $$

can be easily verified. Once the link between the eigenvalues of the power of a matrix, and the link between the trace , determinant and eigenvalues is made clear, this reduces to the identity I verified by expansion.


Here is a different take that works over $\mathbb Q$.

Suppose $A^n=I$. Then the possible irreducible factors for the minimal polynomial of $A$ are the cyclotomic polynomials of degree at most $2$: $$ x-1,\quad x+1,\quad x^2+x+1,\quad x^2+1,\quad x^2-x+1 $$ Therefore, the possible characteristic polynomials are $$ (x-1)^2,\quad (x+1)^2,\quad (x-1)(x+1),\quad x^2+x+1,\quad x^2+1,\quad x^2-x+1 $$ The absolute values of the coefficients of the $x$ term in these polynomials are all at most $2$ and so $|\text{tr}(A)|\le 2$.