What is the academic job market going to be like in September-November 2020?

At my US large state univ, there is a hiring freeze for this coming year. Yes, this did also happen c. 2008.

One difference is that in the US the trans-economic source of the problem is by no means resolved... and even when/if it is "resolved", I think the "new normal" is very hard to predict. So administrations are being, and I think will continue to be, very very cautious about commitments toward the future.

So, no, no reason to be optimistic, because we don't even see the end of the disaster yet. Sorry.


There are some imprecise indications that the last several years have all been the worst year in the last 25 years. 2020-2021 will be much, much worse. In most cases, the question is not who will get a job, but who will lose one.

http://theprofessorisin.com/2020/05/01/tenured-faculty-member-says-quiet-part-out-loud/

Hiring freeze list:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1KohP4xZdN8BZy1OMeXCAGagswvUOWpOws72eDKpBhI4/edit

I have no affiliation with the business that provides this information.


DISCLAIMER: I'm from the UK, and I mostly speak about UK academia, although I have some experience with the US also.

I think there is a difference between Grad Students, Postdocs and Tenure track profs, because they are all funded differently.

I see no reason to be optimistic about the job market for Lecturers/TT profs/others that are funded by core University money. Every university I know has a hiring freeze.

Postdocs are different because by-and-large they are not funded from university funds, but from external grants. The universities wouldn't get to keep that money anyway if they didn't spend it on postdocs. Certainly here in the UK, people still have grants, and there is no suggestion there will be fewer next year.

Some grad students are funded by universities themselves, others by outside agencies. In the UK the vast majority (9 out of the 10 students each year in my department for example), are funded by outside sources, and so they aren't going anywhere either. But I would expect to see places funded by the universities themselves drying up.