Will there be a functional language which does for the Java community what F# does for the .NET community?
Scala would be the language.
Though not strictly functional (it's a mix of functional and object-oriented) and it is not strictly for Java (there is a .NET version of Scala), that would be the closest analog to F# in the JVM.
The first thing that came to my mind was Scala but really Ocaml-Java comes closer as F# is a variant of Ocaml. See this post that compares Ocaml-Java to Scala:
OCaml programmers are typically over 10x as productive as Java or C++ programmers for a wide range of practical tasks. Despite being based upon a fundamentally OOP platform, F# goes a long way to capturing the productivity- boosting benefits of OCaml (and the whole ML family). In contrast, Scala fails to capture many of the benefits including some really basic ones and, consequently, writing correct code is much more difficult in Scala than in any real ML.
Moreover, the ML family of languages are designed to be succinct but Scala is needlessly verbose for everything from "Hello world!" upwards. The ML family of languages provide extensive type inference (OCaml more than most) but Scala has only rudimentary inference by comparison. OCaml has an unusually expressive type system but Scala adds little to OOP that is of practical importance.
Perhaps Clojure. It's not statically typed, but it has more of an emphasis on immutability and concurrency than F#. However, like F# (and unlike Common Lisp), it is intended to be a primarily functional language that is good at consuming OO libraries from the underlying platform.